This text originally appeared on-line at: http://www.mines.utah.edu/geo/people/faculty/jarrard/Text/booktoc.html but disappeared from the web around 2006. My efforts to contact the author had failed, but in December 2007 I was able to retrieve the text using the Web Archive Service. The original work was created by Richard D. Jarrard and remains his intellectual property. If you have comments on this restoral, please contact me at: info@EmotionalCompetency.com
Good news, as of January 16, 2008 the original work has been restored and is now available at: https://webctold.utah.edu/webct/RelativeResourceManager/288712009021/Public Files/sm/sm0.htm I have reconstructed the material here from the more recent source.
The Emotional Competency website hosts this text because of the important contribution it makes to the theory of knowledge.
SCIENTIFIC METHODS
an online book
Richard D. Jarrard
Dept. of Geology and Geophysics, University of Utah
r.jarrard@utah.edu
© Richard D. Jarrard 2001
Scientific Methods is an online book about the techniques and processes of science and the experience of being a scientist. This book is written by a scientist for scientists. My hope is that it will be browsed by scientists (including graduate students) and read by undergraduates.
Why am I publishing this book online, despite having a willing soft-cover publisher? The main reason is wider availability to readers. A typical science book has a publication run of ~2000 copies, then it goes out of print. Additional factors include educational use and ease of revision. I admit that I would have enjoyed saying that I earned ~25¢/hour by writing this book.
Below the Table of Contents are Adobe Acrobat PDF files, which are more printer-friendly than the web pages. The PDF files also include a Name Index and Subject Index. Feel free to print a personal copy. Note, however, that this book is copyrighted; it is unethical (see Chapter 10) and illegal to distribute multiple printouts or digital copies or to copy any of these files to other web sites.
CONTENTS
1. Introduction
         Overview
         Thumbnail History of Scientific 
    Methods
         Myth of a Scientific Method
         Scientific Methods
SCIENTIFIC TOOLBOX
2. Variables
         Statistics
         Errors
         Precision > Accuracy > 
    Reliability
                Random 
    and Systematic Errors
                Representative 
    Sampling
                Replication 
    and Confirmation
         Probability
         Sampling Distribution for One 
    Variable
                Histograms
         Normal Distribution
                Mean 
    & Standard Deviation
                Normal 
    Distribution Function
                Weighted 
    Mean
                95% 
    Confidence Limits on Mean
                How 
    Many Measurements are Needed?
                Propagation 
    of Errors
         Non-Normal Distributions
                Normality 
    Tests
                Rejecting 
    Anomalous Data
                Median, 
    Range, & 95% Confidence Limits
         Examples
3. Induction and Pattern Recognition
         Types of Explanation
         Coincidence
         Correlation
                Examples
                Crossplots
                Plotting 
    Hints
                Extrapolation 
    and Interpolation
                Correlation 
    Statistics
                Nonlinear 
    Relationships
                Correlation 
    Conclusions
         Perspectives on Causality
         Mill's Canons: Five Inductive 
    Methods
                Method 
    of Agreement
                Method 
    of Difference
                Joint 
    Method of Agreement & Difference
                Method 
    of Concomitant Variations
                Method 
    of Residues
         Correlation or Causality?
4. Deduction and Logic
         Logic
                Deduction 
    vs. Induction
                Deductive 
    Logic
         Classification Statements
                Deductive 
    Aids: Venn Diagrams and Substitution
                Logically 
    Equivalent Statements
                Relationships 
    among Statements
         Syllogisms
                Categorical 
    Syllogisms
                Hypothetical 
    Syllogisms
         Pitfalls: Fallacious Arguments
                Fallacies 
    Resulting from Problems in a Premise
                Fallacies 
    Employing Extraneous Other Evidence
                Faulty 
    Link between Premises & Conclusion
                Case-dependent 
    Relationship between Parts & Whole
5. Experimental Techniques
         Observational versus Experimental 
    Science
         Seizing an Opportunity
         Experimental Equipment
         Prototypes and Pilot Studies
         Troubleshooting and Search Procedures
                Problem: 
    Find a Needle in a Haystack
                Problem: 
    Search for the Top Quark
         Tips on Experimental Design and 
    Execution
         Pitfalls of Experimental Design
         Control of Variables
                Problem: 
    the Noisy Widgetometer
         Computation and Information Handling
LIVING SCIENCE
6. The Myth of Objectivity
         Perception: Case Studies
         Perception, Memory, and Schemata
         Postmodernism
         Pitfalls of Subjectivity
                Experimental 
    Design
                Experiment 
    Execution
                Data 
    Interpretation
                Publication
                Pitfall 
    Examples
         Group Objectivity
7. Evidence Evaluation and Scientific 
    Progress
         Judgment Values
         Evaluation Aids
         Confirmation and Refutation of 
    Hypotheses
         Power of Evidence
         Hypothesis Modification
         Paradigm and Scientific Revolution
         Pitfalls of Evidence Evaluation
                Hidden 
    Influence of Prior Theory on Evidence Evaluation
                Incremental 
    Hypotheses and Discoveries
                'Fight 
    or Flight' Reaction to New Ideas
                Confusing 
    the Package and Product
                Pitfall 
    Examples
8. Insight
         Role of Insight in Science
         Characteristics of Insight
         Conditions Favoring Insight
         Obstacles to Insight
         The Royal Way
         How Does Insight Work?
         Alternative Paths to Insight
                Unexpected 
    Results
                Transfer 
    from other Disciplines
                Breakthroughs 
    by Amateurs: the Outsider Perspective
         From Puzzle Solving …
         … To Mystical Experience
9. The Scientist's World
         Scientist and Lay Person
         Science and Society
         Science and the Arts
         Science and Pseudoscience
         Applied and Basic Research
                Conflict: 
    Applied vs. Basic Research
                Changing 
    Goals for Applied and Basic Research
                Resolution: 
    Bridging the Gap
         Big Science versus Little Science
         Ego and the Scientific Pecking 
    Order
10. The Scientist
         Scientists' Characteristics
                Essential 
    Characteristics
                Common 
    Characteristics
         Cooperation or Competition?
         Science Ethics
         Publication
         A Scientist's Life: Changing 
    Motivations
         Process and Product
PDF FILES
    Table of Contents
    1. Introduction
    2. Variables
    3. Induction and Pattern Recognition
    4. Deduction and Logic
    5. Experimental Techniques
    6. The Myth of Objectivity
    7. Evidence Evaluation and Scientific 
    Progress
    8. Insight
    9. The Scientist's World
    10. The Scientist
    References
    Name Index
    Subject Index
    
PDF of entire book (2.2 MB)